Who to start · 2025-26
Filip Hronek vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hronek's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.8, Luck Meter +3, Transition attempts /60 0.80.
Hertl's biggest edges: Expected goals 55.2%, Sequence xG 54.7%, High-danger chances 59.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Filip Hronek
2.03
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hronek | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.68 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.71 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hronek vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hronek 3G 7A, 27 SOG · Hertl 5G 8A, 31 SOG
Hronek blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Hronek's.
On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)
13:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–15
- 48.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.3
- 26.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hronek | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | VAN 1–2 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-30 | VAN 2–4 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2026-02-04 | VAN 2–5 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-22 | VAN 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-08 | VAN 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | VAN 7–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-25 | VAN 3–4 SJS | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-11-20 | VAN 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | VAN 10–1 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-23 | VAN 7–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-24 | DET 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-11-17 | DET 7–4 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Filip Hronek
4games (2 left)
3.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Filip Hronek or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Filip Hronek or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hronek and Hertl done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 10–7. Hronek had 10 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 13 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →