Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.8%, Offensive-zone start % 65.5%, Power-play share 65.5%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Goals above expected +2.7, Hardest shot 95.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiFerraro
Goals (+2)0.690.29
Assists (+1)0.510.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.13
Hits (+0.1)0.020.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiFerraro
9Team record in 18 meetings9
9Points in those games2

Vilardi 2G 7A, 30 SOG · Ferraro 0G 2A, 16 SOG

0Hits on each other6
3Shots blocked by the other2

Vilardi blocked 3 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 2 of Vilardi's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

15:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
7–21
25.0%
Expected goals
0.6–1.8
26.4%
Goals
0–2

On the ice together

3:31 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27

Shot attempts
3–3
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
12.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreVilardiFerraro
2026-04-16WPG 1–6 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-01WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-07WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-24WPG 2–1 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-17WPG 4–3 SJS0G 3A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-18WPG 8–3 SJS0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-14WPG 1–0 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-04WPG 2–1 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-12WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-11LAK 4–3 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-25LAK 5–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2021-04-10LAK 4–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Ferraro done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 9–9. Vilardi had 9 points (2 goals) and Ferraro had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →