Who to start · 2026-27
Gabriel Vilardi vs Trevor Connelly
In 2026-27, Gabriel Vilardi scored 1.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Connelly's 1.43.
Vilardi had 14 points in 21 games; Connelly had 12 in 21 games.
This week Vilardi has no games left; Connelly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Connelly for 1.5 to Vilardi's 0.0 over the games left.
Trevor Connelly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.059, Ascension score 77, Faceoffs won 44.
Connelly's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, 20+ mph bursts 46, Goals above expected +1.6.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Gabriel Vilardi rates ahead, -0.7 to -0.9 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Vilardi is surging, 7 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before); Connelly is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.81 (was 3.24).
- • Vilardi, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 2 G, 6 A, 3 PPP, 26 SOG.
- • Trevor Connelly is an NHL rookie: this is his first season.
- • Connelly, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 3 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 19 SOG.
Winnipeg Jets · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), Gabriel Vilardi has the edge (Vilardi wins 3, Connelly wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Vilardi | Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| Assists / game | 0.52 | 0.24 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.19 | 0.05 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| Shots on goal / game | 2.19 | 1.90 |
| Hits / game | 0.19 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head
Gabriel Vilardi and Trevor Connelly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Nov 10 vs NJDOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.881)
- Thu, Nov 12 @ DALOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.902)
- Sat, Nov 14 @ CHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.882)
Trevor Connelly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Nov 11 vs UTAOpp allows 15th-most FP to LWLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.862)
- Fri, Nov 13 vs NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
- Sun, Nov 15 vs VAN1.5 pts
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Trevor Connelly in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, Gabriel Vilardi scored 1.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Connelly's 1.43. Vilardi had 14 points in 21 games; Connelly had 12 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Trevor Connelly?
- On 2026-27 numbers, Trevor Connelly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →