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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.3%, On-ice PDO 1012, Plus/minus +14.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.8%, Top skating speed 23.8, Shorthanded points 2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovSergachev
Goals (+2)0.220.26
Assists (+1)0.270.63
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.030.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.80

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovSergachev
5Team record in 17 meetings12
9Points in those games7

Provorov 4G 5A, 27 SOG · Sergachev 2G 5A, 36 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Provorov blocked 3 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 2 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

7:02 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
15–9
62.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
86.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreProvorovSergachev
2026-01-11CBJ 3–2 UTA0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-06CBJ 2–3 UTA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-01-31CBJ 3–2 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-02CBJ 4–2 TBL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-07PHI 2–5 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 4S
2022-12-01PHI 1–4 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-18PHI 3–2 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-05PHI 1–7 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-23PHI 0–4 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2021-11-18PHI 3–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2020-02-15PHI 3–5 TBL1G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2020-01-11PHI 0–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Sergachev done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 5–12. Provorov had 9 points (4 goals) and Sergachev had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →