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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Rasmus Andersson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Andersson projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Andersson had 47 in 81 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Andersson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Andersson for 2.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Rasmus Andersson has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, On-ice PDO 1012, Plus/minus +14.

Andersson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.5%, Offensive-zone start % 50.8%, Penalty minutes 71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Rasmus Andersson

2.07

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Andersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovAndersson
Goals (+2)0.220.42
Assists (+1)0.270.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.22
Hits (+0.1)0.030.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Andersson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovAndersson
6Team record in 14 meetings8
5Points in those games10

Provorov 0G 5A, 31 SOG · Andersson 4G 6A, 27 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

Provorov blocked 2 of Andersson's shots; Andersson blocked 1 of Provorov's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

12:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
15–7
68.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
29.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Rasmus Andersson
DateScoreProvorovAndersson
2026-01-13CBJ 5–3 CGY0G 0A 6S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-05CBJ 1–5 CGY0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-03CBJ 0–3 CGY0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-29CBJ 5–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-25CBJ 5–2 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-20CBJ 3–1 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-20PHI 4–3 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-21PHI 2–5 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2021-11-16PHI 2–1 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-30PHI 0–4 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2019-11-23PHI 2–3 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2019-10-15PHI 1–3 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovAndersson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Rasmus Andersson

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Rasmus Andersson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Andersson projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Andersson had 47 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Rasmus Andersson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Andersson leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Andersson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 6–8. Provorov had 5 points (0 goals) and Andersson had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →