Who to start · 2025-26
Jacob Trouba vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82.
Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Trouba has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.
Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Trouba's biggest edges: Corsi 52.1%, Fenwick 52.3%, Power-play share 17.0%.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Top skating speed 22.8, 20+ mph bursts 93.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jacob Trouba
1.82
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Trouba | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.89 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Trouba vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Trouba 1G 2A, 15 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 6 SOG
Trouba blocked 2 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 0 of Trouba's.
On the ice against each other (Trouba's side)
6:12 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Trouba's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–8
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.3
- 57.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Trouba | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | ANA 6–5 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-25 | ANA 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-23 | NYR 4–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-27 | NYR 1–5 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-12 | NYR 5–1 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-10 | NYR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-31 | NYR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-11 | NYR 2–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-27 | NYR 5–4 BUF | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jacob Trouba
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jacob Trouba or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82. Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jacob Trouba or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Trouba and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Trouba's team went 5–4. Trouba had 3 points (1 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →