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Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Mattias Samuelsson

Jackson BlakeJackson BlakeHurricanes · Right wingvsMattias SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonSabres · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Blake has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Blake's 1.7.

Jackson Blake has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Corsi 60.4%, Offensive-zone start % 76.9%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Hits 132, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.480.44
Assists (+1)0.400.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.14
Hits (+0.1)0.010.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Jackson Blake and Mattias Samuelsson have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jackson Blake leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →