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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, Transition attempts /60 1.30, Top skating speed 22.4.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 98, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Blocked shots 40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovBuchnevich
Goals (+2)1.210.46
Assists (+1)0.530.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.16
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovBuchnevich
8Team record in 20 meetings12
26Points in those games18

Kaprizov 14G 12A, 74 SOG · Buchnevich 4G 14A, 41 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Kaprizov blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Kaprizov's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

13:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
15–7
68.2%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
51.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreKaprizovBuchnevich
2026-03-01MIN 1–3 STL1G 0A 5S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-09MIN 5–0 STL0G 3A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-19MIN 4–2 STL2G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-15MIN 4–1 STL0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-23MIN 4–5 STL0G 2A 5S0G 3A 0S
2024-03-16MIN 2–3 STL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-02MIN 1–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-28MIN 3–1 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-08MIN 5–3 STL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-01-08MIN 0–3 STL0G 0A 6S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-31MIN 5–2 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2022-05-12 · POMIN 1–5 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 8–12. Kaprizov had 26 points (14 goals) and Buchnevich had 18 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →