Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mason Marchment vs Matthew Tkachuk

CoolingPP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20)
Rising11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39.

Marchment had 45 points in 68 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games.

This week Marchment has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Tkachuk has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.6 to Marchment's 2.7 over the games left.

Mason Marchment has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchment's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.58, On-ice PDO 1046, Plus/minus +17.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.41, Ascension score 62, High-danger chances 55.8%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Matthew Tkachuk rates ahead, +9.6 to +0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Marchment is cooling, PP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20); Tkachuk is rising, 11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 3 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 21 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 11 A, 7 PPP, 19 SOG.

San Jose Sharks · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mason Marchment

+0.4

category z-score total

Matthew Tkachuk

+9.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Matthew Tkachuk has the edge (Marchment wins 1, Tkachuk wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMarchmentTkachuk
Goals / game0.290.39
Assists / game0.230.88
Plus/minus / game-0.050.05
Power-play points / game0.060.55
Shots on goal / game1.892.57
Hits / game1.421.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Marchment vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchmentTkachuk
4Team record in 10 meetings6
7Points in those games12

Marchment 2G 5A, 16 SOG · Tkachuk 4G 8A, 30 SOG

2Hits on each other0
2Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Marchment's side)

3:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27, from Marchment's side

Shot attempts
2–3
40.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
33.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mason Marchment and Matthew Tkachuk
DateScoreMarchmentTkachuk
2026-10-01SJS 4–3 FLA1G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2026-03-12CBJ 1–2 FLA0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-05CBJ 4–2 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-02DAL 2–4 FLA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-11-01DAL 4–6 FLA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-12DAL 3–4 FLA0G 1A 1S0G 2A 4S
2023-12-06DAL 4–5 FLA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2023-01-08DAL 5–1 FLA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-11-17DAL 6–4 FLA0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2022-01-18FLA 1–5 CGY0G 1A 0S1G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchmentTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Mason Marchment

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

Matthew Tkachuk

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Mason Marchment or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39. Marchment had 45 points in 68 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mason Marchment or Matthew Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mason Marchment leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchment and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Marchment's team went 4–6. Marchment had 7 points (2 goals) and Tkachuk had 12 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →