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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Vincent Trocheck

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 4.0 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07, Expected goals 51.7%.

Trocheck's biggest edges: Power-play share 72.6%, Offensive-zone time 44.2%, Power-play time per game 3:01.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Vincent Trocheck

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonTrocheck
Goals (+2)0.440.45
Assists (+1)0.340.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.17
Hits (+0.1)0.160.31
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Trocheck

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonTrocheck
7Team record in 13 meetings6
4Points in those games4

Samuelsson 1G 3A, 10 SOG · Trocheck 1G 3A, 33 SOG

6Hits on each other4
3Shots blocked by the other1

Samuelsson blocked 3 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 1 of Samuelsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

19:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
15–20
42.9%
Expected goals
0.8–0.4
64.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Vincent Trocheck
DateScoreSamuelssonTrocheck
2026-04-08BUF 5–3 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-08BUF 5–2 NYR1G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-09BUF 0–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-22BUF 8–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-11BUF 2–3 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-23BUF 3–4 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-27BUF 5–1 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2023-10-12BUF 1–5 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-04-10BUF 3–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-31BUF 3–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-11BUF 1–2 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-07BUF 3–5 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonTrocheck

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Vincent Trocheck

3games (2 left)

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Vincent Trocheck?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Samuelsson and Trocheck done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 7–6. Samuelsson had 4 points (1 goals) and Trocheck had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →