Who to start · 2025-26
Shea Theodore vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.87 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.52.
Theodore had 39 points in 70 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Theodore has 2 games left; Harley has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Harley for 3.5 to Theodore's 3.1 over the games left.
Shea Theodore has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Theodore's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Goals above expected +1.5, Fenwick 55.3%.
Harley's biggest edges: Hits 39, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Blocked shots 148.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Shea Theodore rates ahead, +4.5 to +2.3 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Theodore is cooling, 1 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before); Harley is steady, ixG/60 0.56 (was 0.15).
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 23 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 2–Oct 20): 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 22 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 16 SOG.
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Fantasy value: your scoring
Shea Theodore
+4.5
category z-score total
Thomas Harley
+2.3
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Shea Theodore has the edge (Theodore wins 3, Harley wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Theodore | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Assists / game | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.58 | 0.15 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.96 | 1.68 |
| Hits / game | 0.02 | 0.68 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Theodore vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Theodore 1G 6A, 49 SOG · Harley 0G 6A, 31 SOG
Theodore blocked 2 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 3 of Theodore's.
On the ice against each other (Theodore's side)
22:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Theodore's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–18
- 59.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.1
- 54.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Theodore | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | VGK 3–2 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-10 | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-29 | VGK 4–5 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-28 | VGK 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-24 | VGK 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-06 | VGK 3–2 DAL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | VGK 2–0 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-29 · PO | VGK 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | VGK 3–1 DAL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Shea Theodore
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ STL1.6 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
Thomas Harley
3games (2 left)
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs BOSOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs WPG1.9 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs NYI1.7 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Shea Theodore or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.87 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.52. Theodore had 39 points in 70 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Shea Theodore or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Shea Theodore leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Theodore and Harley done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Theodore's team went 11–11. Theodore had 7 points (1 goals) and Harley had 6 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →