Draw Duel
Owen Michaels faceoff stats, 2026-27
EDM · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 36 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2026-27 FO%
50.0%
18 won of 36 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
52.4% / 50.0%
21 strong-side, 4 weak-side draws this season
Next game
5.0 FOW
2026-10-07 vs ANA: 12 draws at 41.2%, range 2–8
Where Michaels wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| OZ right | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| NZ left (def.) | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| NZ right (def.) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| DZ left | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| DZ right | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R33.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L33.2%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R33.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L34.2%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L34.4%
- Jack Drury NSH · L34.4%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L54.0%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L53.6%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L52.5%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L50.7%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L50.4%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R50.2%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 50.0% 36 | 51.7% 29 | — 0 | 42.9% 7 | 60.0% 5 | 43.8% 16 | 53.3% 15 | 52.4% 21 | 50.0% 4 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Pettersson | 4–4 | 50.0% | 44.4% | 44.5% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 2–5 | 28.6% | 40.0% | 39.8% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Matty Beniers | 5–1 | 83.3% | 45.0% | 45.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.9) |
| Paul Cotter | 2–3 | 40.0% | 42.3% | 42.3% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Berkly Catton | 2–3 | 40.0% | 51.5% | 51.4% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Marco Rossi | 1–2 | 33.3% | 45.2% | 45.1% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Arshdeep Bains | 1–0 | 100.0% | 54.6% | 54.7% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Linus Karlsson | 1–0 | 100.0% | 55.6% | 55.7% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs SEA | 9 | 18 | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | @ VAN | 6 | 13 | 46.2% |
| 2026-09-29 | vs VAN | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-07 vs ANA likely opponents: Tim Washe (34%), Mikael Granlund (43%)5.0 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-10 vs SJS likely opponents: Alexander Wennberg (44%), Macklin Celebrini (43%)5.3 FOW 2–9
FAQ
What is Owen Michaels's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Owen Michaels's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Owen Michaels win tonight?
When Owen Michaels has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Owen Michaels better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.