Who to start · 2026-27

Alexis Lafrenière vs Joel Farabee

FallingixG/60 0.51 (was 1.30)
SurgingixG/60 1.80 (was 0.96)

In 2026-27, Joel Farabee scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 2.20.

Lafrenière had 22 points in 21 games; Farabee had 17 in 20 games.

This week Lafrenière has no games left; Farabee has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Farabee for 2.1 to Lafrenière's 0.0 over the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.0%, On-ice PDO 1054, Expected goals 57.9%.

Farabee's biggest edges: Ascension score 88, Blocked shots 22, Forecheck xG /60 0.52.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Alexis Lafrenière rates ahead, +2.8 to +2.0 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Lafrenière is falling, ixG/60 0.51 (was 1.30); Farabee is surging, ixG/60 1.80 (was 0.96).

  • • Lafrenière, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 3 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 23 SOG.
  • • Farabee, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 5 G, 3 A, 3 PPP, 30 SOG.

New York Rangers · Calgary Flames · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

+2.8

category z-score total

Joel Farabee

+2.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Alexis Lafrenière has the edge (Lafrenière wins 4, Farabee wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryLafrenièreFarabee
Goals / game0.480.35
Assists / game0.570.50
Plus/minus / game0.00-0.25
Power-play points / game0.290.45
Shots on goal / game2.142.70
Hits / game1.050.40

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Farabee

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreFarabee
14Team record in 23 meetings9
13Points in those games7

Lafrenière 7G 6A, 38 SOG · Farabee 3G 4A, 54 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Farabee's shots; Farabee blocked 1 of Lafrenière's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

12:03 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
13–11
54.2%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
82.1%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Joel Farabee
DateScoreLafrenièreFarabee
2026-11-11NYR 3–1 CGY0G 2A 2S0G 0A 5S
2026-03-10NYR 4–0 CGY3G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-26NYR 1–5 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-18NYR 1–2 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI2G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-24NYR 3–1 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Faceoffs: Lafrenière vs Farabee

Model: Alexis Lafrenière wins 45.8% of draws against Joel Farabee on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Alexis Lafrenière's predicted win % against Joel Farabee at each dot, in Lafrenière's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Lafrenière atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home51%40%52%41%46%52%41%53%42%
Road50%39%51%40%46%51%40%52%41%

They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.

Lafrenière faceoffs · Farabee faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreFarabee

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

LafrenièreFarabee

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

New York Rangers logo

Alexis Lafrenière

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Devon Levi (.906)
  • Wed, Nov 11 @ CGY
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Devin Cooley (.914)
  • Fri, Nov 13 @ VAN
    Opp allows the most FP to LWLikely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
Calgary Flames logo

Joel Farabee

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN default pts

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Joel Farabee in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Joel Farabee scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 2.20. Lafrenière had 22 points in 21 games; Farabee had 17 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Joel Farabee?
On 2026-27 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Farabee done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 14–9. Lafrenière had 13 points (7 goals) and Farabee had 7 (3 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →