Who to start · 2026-27
Barrett Hayton vs Parker Kelly
In 2026-27, Barrett Hayton scored 1.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.27.
Hayton had 11 points in 21 games; Kelly had 9 in 21 games.
This week Hayton has no games left; Kelly has no games left.
Barrett Hayton has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hayton's biggest edges: High-danger chances 67.3%, Sequence xG 63.8%, Expected goals 63.9%.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 23, Goals above expected +1.7, Luck Meter +53.
Head to head on the dot, Kelly leads Hayton 9–8.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Barrett Hayton rates ahead, -1.1 to -2.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Hayton is rising, PP1 in 3 of last 5 (was 2 of 20); Kelly is steady, On-ice xGF/60 1.75 (was 2.29).
- • Hayton, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 2 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
- • Kelly, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 3 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.
Utah Mammoth · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), Barrett Hayton has the edge (Hayton wins 4, Kelly wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Hayton | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| Assists / game | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.29 | 0.10 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.86 | 1.10 |
| Hits / game | 0.14 | 1.10 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Hayton vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hayton 2G 1A, 21 SOG · Kelly 3G 2A, 14 SOG
Hayton's offensive zone 4–4 · neutral 2–4 · Hayton's defensive zone 2–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Hayton's side)
10:45 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hayton's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–12
- 47.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 45.3%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hayton | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-23 | UTA 0–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-12 | UTA 4–1 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-24 | UTA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-01 | ARI 5–3 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | ARI 3–5 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-22 | ARI 2–6 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-14 | ARI 5–3 OTT | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-05 | ARI 8–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
Faceoffs: Hayton vs Kelly
Model: Barrett Hayton wins 58.4% of draws against Parker Kelly on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Hayton at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 64% | 52% | 65% | 53% | 59% | 65% | 53% | 66% | 54% |
| Road | 63% | 51% | 64% | 52% | 58% | 64% | 52% | 65% | 53% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Hayton 8–9 (47.1%). Blended with the model: 58.0%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.9); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Barrett Hayton
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Nov 11 @ VGKOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.895)
- Thu, Nov 12 vs STLB2B
- Sat, Nov 14 vs SJSOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.890)
Parker Kelly
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Nov 10 @ TOROpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.881)
- Thu, Nov 12 @ OTTOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.939)
- Sat, Nov 14 @ MTLOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.852)
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Barrett Hayton or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, Barrett Hayton scored 1.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.27. Hayton had 11 points in 21 games; Kelly had 9 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Barrett Hayton or Parker Kelly?
- On 2026-27 numbers, Barrett Hayton leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hayton and Kelly done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Hayton's team went 5–6. Hayton had 3 points (2 goals) and Kelly had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hayton or Kelly?
- Against each other, Hayton has won 8 and Kelly 9 of their 17 head-to-head draws.
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →