Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.42, High-danger chances 60.8%, Faceoffs won 175.
Connor's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, On-ice PDO 1017, 20+ mph bursts 162.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 10G 6A, 92 SOG · Connor 12G 15A, 66 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
3:08 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 82.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | OTT 4–2 WPG | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-15 | OTT 3–2 WPG | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-28 | OTT 2–4 WPG | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-30 | OTT 3–2 WPG | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-20 | OTT 1–2 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-01-21 | OTT 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2022-12-20 | OTT 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-10 | OTT 3–4 WPG | 2G 1A 8S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-24 | OTT 5–2 WPG | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | OTT 4–2 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-05 | OTT 3–4 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2021-05-03 | OTT 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Connor done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 10–13. Tkachuk had 16 points (10 goals) and Connor had 27 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Connor?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 1 and Connor 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →