Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Brady Tkachuk
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, On-ice PDO 1016, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Corsi 58.2%, Fenwick 59.6%, Scoring chances 61.3%.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Tkachuk 21–10.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Tkachuk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Tkachuk
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 20G 25A, 136 SOG · Tkachuk 11G 16A, 128 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 3–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 14–9 (2019-20 to 2024-25)
Matthews blocked 2 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
5:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–8
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 36.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Tkachuk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | TOR 2–5 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-12-27 | TOR 7–5 OTT | 1G 2A 9S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | TOR 4–2 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-29 · PO | TOR 0–4 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | TOR 3–4 OTT | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | TOR 3–2 OTT | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-22 · PO | TOR 3–2 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-20 · PO | TOR 6–2 OTT | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-15 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | TOR 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | TOR 3–5 OTT | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-27 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Brady Tkachuk?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Tkachuk done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 20–14. Matthews had 45 points (20 goals) and Tkachuk had 27 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Tkachuk?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 21 and Tkachuk 10 of their 31 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →