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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Luck Meter +70, On-ice PDO 1026, Goals above expected +1.2.

McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Offensive-zone time 47.7%, High-danger chances 57.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.321.17
Assists (+1)0.721.10
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.33
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.37
Hits (+0.1)0.110.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyMcDavid
6Team record in 15 meetings9
7Points in those games20

McAvoy 1G 6A, 24 SOG · McDavid 7G 13A, 56 SOG

4Hits on each other3
6Shots blocked by the other1

McAvoy blocked 6 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 1 of McAvoy's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

12:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
6–19
24.0%
Expected goals
0.5–1.4
27.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Connor McDavid
DateScoreMcAvoyMcDavid
2025-12-31BOS 6–2 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 9S
2025-12-18BOS 1–3 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-07BOS 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-19BOS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-05BOS 1–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 7S
2024-02-21BOS 6–5 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 2A 4S
2023-03-09BOS 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-27BOS 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S2G 0A 5S
2021-12-09BOS 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S
2021-11-11BOS 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2020-01-04BOS 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2018-10-18BOS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to D
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to C

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and McDavid done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 6–9. McAvoy had 7 points (1 goals) and McDavid had 20 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →