Who to start · 2025-26
Collin Graf vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.
Graf had 46 points in 81 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Graf's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021, On-ice PDO 1025, Hits 88.
McDavid's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Fenwick 54.3%, Corsi 54.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Collin Graf
1.35
fantasy points per game
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | Graf | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 1.15 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 1.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.35 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Graf vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Graf 1G 0A, 10 SOG · McDavid 5G 8A, 21 SOG
On the ice against each other (Graf's side)
29:31 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–20
- 48.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–1.1
- 42.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Graf | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SJS 2–5 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 3G 2A 8S |
| 2026-03-17 | SJS 3–5 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-02-28 | SJS 5–4 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2026-01-29 | SJS 3–4 EDM | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-15 | SJS 2–9 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Collin Graf
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Collin Graf or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Collin Graf or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Graf and McDavid done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 1–4. Graf had 1 points (1 goals) and McDavid had 13 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →