Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Dennis Gilbert

Rising14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before)
Steady2 P in last 3 (0.14/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dennis Gilbert's 1.10.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Gilbert had 1 in 8 games.

This week McDavid has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Gilbert has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Gilbert's 2.1 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 2 of the 2 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Luck Meter +14, Ascension score 80.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before); Gilbert is steady, 2 P in last 3 (0.14/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+21.0

category z-score total

Dennis Gilbert

-2.1

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Gilbert wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidGilbert
Goals / game0.620.06
Assists / game1.520.16
Plus/minus / game0.840.17
Power-play points / game0.740.00
Shots on goal / game3.250.26
Hits / game0.851.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Gilbert

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2023-24: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidGilbert
3Team record in 3 meetings0
3Points in those games0

McDavid 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Gilbert 0G 0A, 1 SOG

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Dennis Gilbert
DateScoreMcDavidGilbert
2024-04-06EDM 4–2 CGY0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-20EDM 3–1 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-29EDM 5–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidGilbert

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Edmonton Oilers logo

Connor McDavid

3games (2 left)

6.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −3.0 win%Likely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Buffalo Sabres logo

Dennis Gilbert

2games

2.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Dennis Gilbert in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dennis Gilbert's 1.10. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Gilbert had 1 in 8 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Dennis Gilbert?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 2 of 2 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Gilbert done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 3–0. McDavid had 3 points (0 goals) and Gilbert had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →