Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dennis Gilbert vs Nathan MacKinnon

Steady2 P in last 3 (0.14/GP before)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dennis Gilbert's 1.10.

Gilbert had 1 points in 8 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Gilbert has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Gilbert's 2.1 over the games left.

They split the 2 stats both are ranked on 1–1.

Gilbert's biggest edges: Ascension score 53.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Gilbert is steady, 2 P in last 3 (0.14/GP before); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Buffalo Sabres · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dennis Gilbert

-2.1

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Gilbert wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryGilbertMacKinnon
Goals / game0.060.64
Assists / game0.160.96
Plus/minus / game0.170.43
Power-play points / game0.000.30
Shots on goal / game0.264.38
Hits / game1.210.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Gilbert vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2023-24: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GilbertMacKinnon
1Team record in 5 meetings4
3Points in those games6

Gilbert 0G 3A, 5 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 2A, 16 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Gilbert blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Gilbert's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

Games against each other

Games between Dennis Gilbert and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreGilbertMacKinnon
2023-12-11CGY 5–6 COL0G 2A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-25CGY 1–3 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-02-25CGY 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2019-12-21CHI 5–3 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-18CHI 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GilbertMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Buffalo Sabres logo

Dennis Gilbert

2games

2.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Colorado Avalanche logo

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Dennis Gilbert or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dennis Gilbert's 1.10. Gilbert had 1 points in 8 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dennis Gilbert or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 1–1 across 2 stats where both qualify.
How have Gilbert and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Gilbert's team went 1–4. Gilbert had 3 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 6 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →