Who to start · 2026-27

Connor McDavid vs Erik Haula

vs
Erik HaulaKings · Left wing
Cooling10 P in last 5 (2.50/GP before)
CoolingixG/60 0.61 (was 0.85)

In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Haula's 1.31.

McDavid had 50 points in 21 games; Haula had 7 in 18 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; Haula has no games left. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 3.7 to Haula's 0.0 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 13 of the 16 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Scoring chances 63.7%, Corsi 60.8%, Sequence xG 62.1%.

Haula's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 49.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Draw Equity /100 +0.001.

Head to head on the dot, Haula leads McDavid 17–14.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +16.2 to -1.6 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is cooling, 10 P in last 5 (2.50/GP before); Haula is cooling, ixG/60 0.61 (was 0.85).

  • • McDavid, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 3 G, 14 A, 8 PPP, 30 SOG.
  • • Haula, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 11 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Los Angeles Kings · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+16.2

category z-score total

Erik Haula

-1.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Haula wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidHaula
Goals / game0.520.17
Assists / game1.860.22
Plus/minus / game1.24-0.06
Power-play points / game0.950.06
Shots on goal / game2.761.56
Hits / game0.902.06

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Haula

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidHaula
8Team record in 14 meetings6
30Points in those games4

McDavid 8G 22A, 48 SOG · Haula 2G 2A, 28 SOG

14Faceoffs against each other17

McDavid's offensive zone 8–5 · neutral 2–5 · McDavid's defensive zone 4–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other3
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

10:54 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
8–13
38.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
47.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Erik Haula
DateScoreMcDavidHaula
2026-10-13EDM 4–1 LAK1G 3A 2S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-15EDM 3–1 NSH0G 3A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-13EDM 3–4 NSH0G 2A 3S1G 0A 5S
2026-01-06EDM 6–2 NSH3G 0A 10S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-13EDM 2–3 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-21EDM 6–3 NJD1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-21EDM 2–5 NJD0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-03EDM 3–4 NJD1G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2021-12-09EDM 2–3 BOS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-11EDM 5–3 BOS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2018-04-05EDM 4–3 VGK0G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2018-02-15EDM 1–4 VGK0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Faceoffs: McDavid vs Haula

Model: Connor McDavid wins 47.8% of draws against Erik Haula on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Connor McDavid's predicted win % against Erik Haula at each dot, in McDavid's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
McDavid atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home56%39%57%40%48%57%40%58%41%
Road55%37%56%38%47%56%38%57%40%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: McDavid 2–4 (33.3%). Blended with the model: 47.6%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.7); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

McDavid faceoffs · Haula faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidHaula

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

McDavidHaula

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Edmonton Oilers logo

Connor McDavid

4games (1 left)

3.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
  • Wed, Nov 11 vs PHI
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.879)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Anthony Stolarz (.905)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ PHIB2B3.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Dan Vladar (.879)
Los Angeles Kings logo

Erik Haula

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 vs NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
  • Thu, Nov 12 vs NYI
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ilya Sorokin (.915)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs CGY
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.875)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Erik Haula in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Haula's 1.31. McDavid had 50 points in 21 games; Haula had 7 in 18 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Erik Haula?
On 2026-27 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 13 of 16 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Haula done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 8–6. McDavid had 30 points (8 goals) and Haula had 4 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Haula?
Against each other, McDavid has won 14 and Haula 17 of their 31 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →