Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Radko Gudas

Rising14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.17 (was 2.73)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Radko Gudas's 1.39.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Gudas had 13 in 56 games.

This week McDavid has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Gudas has 3 left with 2 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Gudas's 4.3 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, 20+ mph bursts 681, Ice time per game 22:59.

Gudas's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.8, Hits 164, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.077.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to +0.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before); Gudas is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.17 (was 2.73).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+21.0

category z-score total

Radko Gudas

+0.5

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Gudas wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidGudas
Goals / game0.620.03
Assists / game1.520.14
Plus/minus / game0.840.07
Power-play points / game0.740.01
Shots on goal / game3.250.95
Hits / game0.852.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Gudas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidGudas
11Team record in 17 meetings6
31Points in those games4

McDavid 8G 23A, 55 SOG · Gudas 0G 4A, 20 SOG

0Hits on each other10
0Shots blocked by the other2

McDavid blocked 0 of Gudas's shots; Gudas blocked 2 of McDavid's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

5:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
5–9
35.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
52.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Radko Gudas
DateScoreMcDavidGudas
2026-04-20 · POEDM 4–3 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-25EDM 5–6 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-26EDM 7–4 ANA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-04EDM 2–6 ANA1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-03EDM 3–2 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-29EDM 3–5 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-09EDM 5–3 ANA0G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-31EDM 7–2 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-26EDM 8–2 ANA1G 4A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-28EDM 4–3 FLA1G 2A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-12EDM 4–2 FLA0G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-26EDM 4–3 FLA0G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidGudas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Edmonton Oilers logo

Connor McDavid

3games (2 left)

6.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −3.0 win%Likely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Florida Panthers logo

Radko Gudas

3games

4.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Radko Gudas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Radko Gudas's 1.39. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Gudas had 13 in 56 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Radko Gudas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Gudas done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 11–6. McDavid had 31 points (8 goals) and Gudas had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →