Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Radko Gudas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Radko Gudas's 1.39.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Gudas had 13 in 56 games.
This week MacKinnon has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Gudas has 3 left with 2 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Gudas's 4.3 over the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 455, Power-play time per game 4:13, Ice time per game 22:16.
Gudas's biggest edges: Hits 164, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.077, Penalty minutes 67.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to +0.5 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88); Gudas is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.17 (was 2.73).
- • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
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Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
+14.0
category z-score total
Radko Gudas
+0.5
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (MacKinnon wins 5, Gudas wins 1 of 6 categories).
| Category | MacKinnon | Gudas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.64 | 0.03 |
| Assists / game | 0.96 | 0.14 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.43 | 0.07 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.30 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal / game | 4.38 | 0.95 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 2.71 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Gudas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 7G 17A, 61 SOG · Gudas 0G 3A, 18 SOG
MacKinnon blocked 1 of Gudas's shots; Gudas blocked 9 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
8:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–6
- 64.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.2
- 57.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Gudas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | COL 5–1 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1–2 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-20 | COL 4–2 ANA | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | COL 4–3 ANA | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-05 | COL 3–2 ANA | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-02 | COL 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-15 | COL 8–2 ANA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-11 | COL 5–3 FLA | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-10 | COL 4–5 FLA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-12 | COL 3–2 FLA | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-10-21 | COL 1–4 FLA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-02-13 | COL 2–3 WSH | 0G 2A 9S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
4games (2 left)
5.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
Radko Gudas
3games
4.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Radko Gudas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Radko Gudas's 1.39. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Gudas had 13 in 56 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Radko Gudas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Gudas done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 9–6. MacKinnon had 24 points (7 goals) and Gudas had 3 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →