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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Kirill Kaprizov

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsKirill KaprizovKirill KaprizovWild · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Kaprizov had 89 in 78 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Kaprizov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, 20+ mph bursts 186, Goals above expected −0.5.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.5%, High-danger chances 52.4%, Scoring chances 52.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Kirill Kaprizov

2.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinKaprizov
Goals (+2)0.921.15
Assists (+1)0.450.56
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.34
Hits (+0.1)0.060.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Larkin and Kirill Kaprizov have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinKaprizov

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Kirill Kaprizov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Kaprizov had 89 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Kirill Kaprizov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →