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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Evan Bouchard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Bouchard has 1 left. We project Bouchard for 2.4 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.39, Penalty minutes 48, Hits 46.

Bouchard's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.1%, Scoring chances 55.9%, Expected goals 58.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Evan Bouchard

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinBouchard
Goals (+2)0.920.51
Assists (+1)0.450.90
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.27
Hits (+0.1)0.060.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.62

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Bouchard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinBouchard
4Team record in 10 meetings6
11Points in those games9

Larkin 5G 6A, 36 SOG · Bouchard 2G 7A, 26 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other3

Larkin blocked 0 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 3 of Larkin's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

20:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
19–16
54.3%
Expected goals
0.8–1.1
43.0%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Evan Bouchard
DateScoreLarkinBouchard
2025-12-11DET 1–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-19DET 4–2 EDM2G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-30DET 3–2 EDM1G 0A 11S0G 1A 6S
2024-10-27DET 2–3 EDM0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-13DET 4–8 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 2A 5S
2024-01-11DET 2–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-15DET 5–4 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-07DET 2–5 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-15DET 5–7 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2021-11-09DET 4–2 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinBouchard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Evan Bouchard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Bouchard done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 4–6. Larkin had 11 points (5 goals) and Bouchard had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →