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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.9.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.8, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Hits 67.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Luck Meter +45, Scoring chances 56.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.590.88
Assists (+1)0.550.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.28
Hits (+0.1)0.130.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonGuentzel
3Team record in 11 meetings8
11Points in those games17

Pettersson 4G 7A, 21 SOG · Guentzel 9G 8A, 42 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other4

Pettersson's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Pettersson's defensive zone 2–3 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

9:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
6–15
28.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
35.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Jake Guentzel
DateScorePetterssonGuentzel
2026-03-19VAN 2–6 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-16VAN 6–2 TBL0G 2A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-08VAN 2–4 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-15VAN 1–4 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-11VAN 4–3 PIT2G 2A 5S0G 1A 8S
2023-01-10VAN 4–5 PIT0G 1A 6S0G 0A 6S
2021-12-04VAN 1–4 PIT0G 0A 0S3G 1A 4S
2021-11-24VAN 1–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2019-12-21VAN 4–1 PIT1G 1A 1S1G 0A 5S
2019-11-27VAN 6–8 PIT1G 1A 2S2G 2A 3S
2018-10-27VAN 0–5 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 2A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Guentzel done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 3–8. Pettersson had 11 points (4 goals) and Guentzel had 17 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Guentzel?
Against each other, Pettersson has won 3 and Guentzel 4 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →