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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Matthew Schaefer

Evan BouchardEvan BouchardOilers · DefencevsMatthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.35, High-danger chances 57.1%, Expected goals 58.3%.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.60, Top skating speed 23.1, On-ice PDO 1010.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.920.53
Assists (+1)1.030.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.27
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardSchaefer
0Team record in 2 meetings2
0Points in those games1

Bouchard 0G 0A, 9 SOG · Schaefer 0G 1A, 3 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

13:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
25–6
80.6%
Expected goals
1.4–0.3
83.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreBouchardSchaefer
2026-01-15EDM 0–1 NYI0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-16EDM 2–4 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Schaefer done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 0–2. Bouchard had 0 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →