Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Bouchard for 2.5 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.2.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06, Offensive-zone start % 60.1%, Faceoffs won 0.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Penalty minutes 117, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardWilson
Goals (+2)0.920.78
Assists (+1)1.030.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardWilson
5Team record in 8 meetings3
12Points in those games7

Bouchard 4G 8A, 25 SOG · Wilson 4G 3A, 17 SOG

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other3

Bouchard blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 3 of Bouchard's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

12:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
16–7
69.6%
Expected goals
1.2–0.2
83.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Tom Wilson
DateScoreBouchardWilson
2026-01-24EDM 6–5 WSH3G 3A 8S0G 2A 0S
2025-11-19EDM 4–7 WSH0G 1A 3S2G 0A 2S
2025-02-23EDM 3–7 WSH0G 0A 5S1G 1A 2S
2025-01-21EDM 2–3 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-03-13EDM 7–2 WSH0G 2A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-24EDM 5–0 WSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 7S
2022-03-09EDM 4–3 WSH0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-02EDM 5–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.5 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Wilson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 5–3. Bouchard had 12 points (4 goals) and Wilson had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →