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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs John Tavares

Gabriel VilardiGabriel VilardiJets · CentrevsJohn TavaresJohn TavaresMaple Leafs · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left; Tavares has 1 left. We project Tavares for 1.7 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.6.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Scoring chances 51.6%, On-ice PDO 1018.

Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.071, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Tavares has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiTavares
Goals (+2)0.690.67
Assists (+1)0.510.49
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.24
Hits (+0.1)0.020.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Gabriel Vilardi and John Tavares have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiTavares

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or John Tavares in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or John Tavares?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →