Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jack McBain vs Nikita Nesterenko

CoolingixG/60 0.52 (was 1.12)
RisingixG/60 1.98 (was 0.44)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack McBain projects to 1.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikita Nesterenko's 0.90.

McBain had 25 points in 75 games; Nesterenko had 9 in 29 games.

This week McBain has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Nesterenko has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project McBain for 2.4 to Nesterenko's 2.2 over the games left.

Jack McBain has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McBain's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 84, Blocked shots 43, High-danger chances 55.9%.

Nesterenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Top skating speed 22.5, Ascension score 57.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Jack McBain rates ahead, +1.8 to -1.0 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McBain is cooling, ixG/60 0.52 (was 1.12); Nesterenko is rising, ixG/60 1.98 (was 0.44).

  • • McBain, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • Nesterenko has played 8 of the Ducks' 9 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • Nesterenko, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.

Utah Mammoth · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack McBain

+1.8

category z-score total

Nikita Nesterenko

-1.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Jack McBain has the edge (McBain wins 4, Nesterenko wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcBainNesterenko
Goals / game0.110.11
Assists / game0.210.22
Plus/minus / game0.250.04
Power-play points / game0.000.00
Shots on goal / game1.251.18
Hits / game3.812.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McBain vs Nesterenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McBainNesterenko
1Team record in 2 meetings1
1Points in those games0

McBain 0G 1A, 0 SOG · Nesterenko 0G 0A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (McBain's side)

2:37 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McBain's side

Shot attempts
0–3
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jack McBain and Nikita Nesterenko
DateScoreMcBainNesterenko
2025-11-17UTA 2–3 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-08ARI 5–4 ANA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McBainNesterenko

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

McBainNesterenko

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Utah Mammoth logo

Jack McBain

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 vs PIT
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ SEA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TBL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Anaheim Ducks logo

Nikita Nesterenko

4games (2 left)

2.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ NYR
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.1 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Nico Daws (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Jack McBain or Nikita Nesterenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack McBain projects to 1.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikita Nesterenko's 0.90. McBain had 25 points in 75 games; Nesterenko had 9 in 29 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack McBain or Nikita Nesterenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack McBain leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McBain and Nesterenko done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, McBain's team went 1–1. McBain had 1 points (0 goals) and Nesterenko had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →