Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Nikita Nesterenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikita Nesterenko's 0.90.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Nesterenko had 9 in 29 games.
This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Nesterenko has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.3 to Nesterenko's 2.2 over the games left.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals 45, Shots on goal 287, Blocked shots 53.
Nesterenko's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Expected goals 54.9%, Fenwick 51.0%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -1.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10); Nesterenko is rising, ixG/60 1.98 (was 0.44).
- • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
- • Celebrini, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
- • Nesterenko has played 8 of the Ducks' 9 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
- • Nesterenko, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.
San Jose Sharks · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
+13.2
category z-score total
Nikita Nesterenko
-1.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 5, Nesterenko wins 1 of 6 categories).
| Category | Celebrini | Nesterenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.58 | 0.11 |
| Assists / game | 0.95 | 0.22 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.61 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 3.89 | 1.18 |
| Hits / game | 0.64 | 2.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Nesterenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 1G 5A, 5 SOG · Nesterenko 0G 1A, 3 SOG
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
6:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–6
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–1.1
- 3.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | Nesterenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | SJS 5–4 ANA | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6–7 ANA | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-01 | SJS 3–4 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Macklin Celebrini
4games (2 left)
5.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ TOROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.8 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Nikita Nesterenko
4games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ NYROpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.1 ptsOpp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Nico Daws (.908)
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.1 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Nikita Nesterenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikita Nesterenko's 0.90. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Nesterenko had 9 in 29 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Nikita Nesterenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and Nesterenko done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–2. Celebrini had 6 points (1 goals) and Nesterenko had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →