Who to start · 2026-27
Jack Roslovic vs John Carlson
In 2026-27, John Carlson scored 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jack Roslovic's 1.94.
Roslovic had 20 points in 21 games; Carlson had 16 in 20 games.
This week Roslovic has no games left; Carlson has no games left.
John Carlson has the better number in 17 of the 30 stats both are ranked on.
Roslovic's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 10, Ice time per game 17:22, Ice-time share 28.7%.
Carlson's biggest edges: Expected goals 59.7%, Sequence xG 59.9%, Faceoffs won 0.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, John Carlson rates ahead, +6.1 to +1.6 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Roslovic is rising, PP1 in 5 of last 5 (was 5 of 20); Carlson is surging, 8 P in last 5 (0.65/GP before).
- • Roslovic has played 10 of the Maple Leafs' 11 games since Oct 22 (in and out of the lineup).
- • Roslovic, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 5 G, 6 A, 1 PPP, 24 SOG.
- • Carlson, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 3 G, 8 A, 4 PPP, 20 SOG.
Toronto Maple Leafs · Tampa Bay Lightning · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), John Carlson has the edge (Roslovic wins 0, Carlson wins 6 of 6 categories).
| Category | Roslovic | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| Assists / game | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| Shots on goal / game | 2.67 | 2.40 |
| Hits / game | 0.52 | 0.80 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Roslovic vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Roslovic 4G 11A, 38 SOG · Carlson 3G 19A, 68 SOG
Roslovic blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 3 of Roslovic's.
On the ice against each other (Roslovic's side)
40:12 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Roslovic's side
- Shot attempts
- 42–38
- 52.5%
- Expected goals
- 2.3–2.3
- 50.0%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Roslovic | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 · PO | EDM 2–5 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-04-28 · PO | EDM 4–1 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | EDM 3–4 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2026-04-24 · PO | EDM 4–7 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-04-22 · PO | EDM 4–6 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | EDM 4–3 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-03-28 | EDM 4–2 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6–5 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-11-19 | EDM 4–7 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2025-05-15 · PO | CAR 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-12 · PO | CAR 5–2 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-10 · PO | CAR 4–0 WSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 31 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Jack Roslovic
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Nov 10 vs COLOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.905)
- Thu, Nov 12 vs MINOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.926)
- Sat, Nov 14 vs EDMOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.906)
John Carlson
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Nov 11 @ BUFOpp allows 16th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.867)
- Thu, Nov 12 @ CBJB2B
- Sat, Nov 14 vs DETOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Daniil Tarasov (.931)
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Roslovic or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, John Carlson scored 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jack Roslovic's 1.94. Roslovic had 20 points in 21 games; Carlson had 16 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Roslovic or John Carlson?
- On 2026-27 numbers, John Carlson leads in 17 of 30 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Roslovic and Carlson done against each other?
- In 31 games against each other in our data, Roslovic's team went 17–14. Roslovic had 15 points (4 goals) and Carlson had 22 (3 goals).
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →