Who to start · 2025-26
Jackson Blake vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.
Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Blake has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Blake for 1.7 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
Jackson Blake has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Blake's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Offensive-zone start % 76.9%, Penalty minutes 40.
Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 22.5, Hardest shot 99.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jackson Blake
1.45
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Blake | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Blake vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Blake 4G 1A, 20 SOG · Carlson 1G 6A, 19 SOG
Blake blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 0 of Blake's.
On the ice against each other (Blake's side)
14:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–14
- 54.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.0
- 48.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Blake | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | CAR 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-11 | CAR 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-11 | CAR 1–4 WSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-05-15 · PO | CAR 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-12 · PO | CAR 5–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-10 · PO | CAR 4–0 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-05-08 · PO | CAR 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-06 · PO | CAR 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | CAR 4–5 WSH | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-02 | CAR 5–1 WSH | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-20 | CAR 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-03 | CAR 4–2 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jackson Blake
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jackson Blake or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jackson Blake or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jackson Blake leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Blake and Carlson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 7–5. Blake had 5 points (4 goals) and Carlson had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →