Who to start · 2025-26
Jake McCabe vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week McCabe has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McCabe for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McCabe's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.7, Penalty minutes 64, Faceoffs won 0.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Offensive-zone start % 53.7%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake McCabe
1.75
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake McCabe has the edge.
| Points per game from | McCabe | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.11 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.19 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McCabe vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McCabe 0G 4A, 9 SOG · Toffoli 4G 5A, 38 SOG
McCabe blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 2 of McCabe's.
On the ice against each other (McCabe's side)
7:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McCabe's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–7
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 48.3%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McCabe | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | TOR 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-11 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-27 | TOR 5–6 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2025-03-03 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-02 | TOR 2–1 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-26 | CHI 5–1 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-08 | CHI 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2022-04-18 | CHI 2–5 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-12-21 | BUF 3–2 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-10-17 | BUF 3–0 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2018-10-20 | BUF 5–1 LAK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2017-10-14 | BUF 2–4 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake McCabe
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake McCabe or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake McCabe or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McCabe and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, McCabe's team went 6–6. McCabe had 4 points (0 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →