Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Carlson for 1.9 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.96, Hardest shot 99.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.
Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Shorthanded points 3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 2G 4A, 12 SOG · Carlsson 0G 2A, 6 SOG
Carlson blocked 1 of Carlsson's shots; Carlsson blocked 2 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
4:17 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–6
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 72.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
On the ice together
167:06 at 5-on-5 over 28 games, 2025-26
- Shot attempts
- 192–133
- 59.1%
- Expected goals
- 10.4–6.4
- 61.9%
- Goals
- 7–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | WSH 7–4 ANA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-11 | WSH 7–4 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | WSH 3–0 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | WSH 2–0 ANA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-30 | WSH 5–4 ANA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to C
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 5–0. Carlson had 6 points (2 goals) and Carlsson had 2 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →