Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Nico Hischier

John CarlsonJohn CarlsonLightning · DefencevsNico HischierNico HischierDevils · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nico Hischier's 1.93.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Hischier had 66 in 82 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left; Hischier has 1 left. We project Hischier for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.9.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +33, Goals above expected +1.7, On-ice PDO 1009.

Hischier's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.007, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.28, Hits 58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Nico Hischier

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonHischier
Goals (+2)0.370.64
Assists (+1)0.610.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.25
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.39

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

John Carlson and Nico Hischier have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonHischier

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Nico Hischier

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Nico Hischier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nico Hischier's 1.93. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Hischier had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Nico Hischier?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →