Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Kaprizov vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43.
Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.
Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kaprizov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.4%, Plus/minus +10, Expected goals 54.4%.
Connor's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.028, Luck Meter +36, 20+ mph bursts 162.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Kaprizov
2.50
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kaprizov | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kaprizov 9G 14A, 61 SOG · Connor 9G 11A, 54 SOG
Kaprizov blocked 0 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 1 of Kaprizov's.
On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)
17:52 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–13
- 58.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–0.9
- 58.0%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kaprizov | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2–6 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-27 | MIN 4–3 WPG | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-23 | MIN 3–0 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3–4 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-21 | MIN 0–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-25 | MIN 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-13 | MIN 1–2 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2024-04-06 | MIN 2–4 WPG | 2G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-20 | MIN 3–6 WPG | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2023-04-11 | MIN 1–3 WPG | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-08 | MIN 4–2 WPG | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-12-27 | MIN 4–1 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Kaprizov
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kaprizov and Connor done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 7–10. Kaprizov had 23 points (9 goals) and Connor had 20 (9 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →