Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Fenwick 56.3%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.085, Forecheck xG /60 0.43, Faceoff win % 57.7%.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Carlsson 10–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 1G 2A, 20 SOG · Stamkos 3G 1A, 17 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 3–5 · neutral 2–4 · Carlsson's defensive zone 3–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
17:57 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–11
- 67.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 55.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | ANA 5–4 NSH | 0G 1A 7S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2026-04-07 | ANA 0–5 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-21 | ANA 5–2 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-20 | ANA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-14 | ANA 2–1 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | ANA 5–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | ANA 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Carlsson and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 5–2. Carlsson had 3 points (1 goals) and Stamkos had 4 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 8 and Stamkos 10 of their 18 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →