Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Carlsson for 2.0 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, 20+ mph bursts 197, Offensive-zone start % 65.8%.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 55.1%, On-ice PDO 1023.
Head to head on the dot, Carlsson leads O'Reilly 9–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 1G 2A, 20 SOG · O'Reilly 1G 6A, 6 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 7–1 · Carlsson's defensive zone 2–4 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
18:50 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–11
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.7
- 56.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | ANA 5–4 NSH | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-04-07 | ANA 0–5 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-10-21 | ANA 5–2 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-20 | ANA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-14 | ANA 2–1 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-25 | ANA 5–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-25 | ANA 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA2.0 pts
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 5–2. Carlsson had 3 points (1 goals) and O'Reilly had 7 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 9 and O'Reilly 7 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →