Who to start · 2026-27

Mark Scheifele vs Matthew Tkachuk

Surging12 P in last 5 (0.90/GP before)
RisingixG/60 1.22 (was 0.78)

In 2026-27, Matthew Tkachuk scored 2.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.38.

Scheifele had 26 points in 21 games; Tkachuk had 29 in 21 games.

This week Scheifele has no games left; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 1.9 to Scheifele's 0.0 over the games left.

Matthew Tkachuk has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 139, Blocked shots 13, Ascension score 80.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.06, Penalty minutes 32, Hits 41.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Matthew Tkachuk rates ahead, +7.0 to +4.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Scheifele is surging, 12 P in last 5 (0.90/GP before); Tkachuk is rising, ixG/60 1.22 (was 0.78).

  • • Scheifele, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 5 G, 13 A, 7 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • Tkachuk, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 1 G, 13 A, 7 PPP, 21 SOG.

Winnipeg Jets · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mark Scheifele

+4.4

category z-score total

Matthew Tkachuk

+7.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Matthew Tkachuk has the edge (Scheifele wins 3, Tkachuk wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryScheifeleTkachuk
Goals / game0.330.19
Assists / game0.901.19
Plus/minus / game0.240.10
Power-play points / game0.430.71
Shots on goal / game2.242.10
Hits / game0.571.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ScheifeleTkachuk
15Team record in 27 meetings12
27Points in those games24

Scheifele 16G 11A, 60 SOG · Tkachuk 9G 15A, 79 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Scheifele's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Scheifele's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)

1Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other0

Scheifele blocked 2 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Scheifele's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)

10:30 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Scheifele's side

Shot attempts
7–8
46.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.4
49.3%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Mark Scheifele and Matthew Tkachuk
DateScoreScheifeleTkachuk
2026-10-30WPG 2–5 FLA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-10-27WPG 1–5 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 4A 1S
2026-01-31WPG 2–1 FLA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-22WPG 1–2 FLA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-19WPG 6–3 FLA3G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2024-11-16WPG 0–5 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-24WPG 3–0 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-14WPG 6–4 FLA1G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-11WPG 5–4 FLA2G 0A 3S2G 1A 9S
2022-12-06WPG 5–2 FLA2G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-02-21WPG 1–3 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2021-11-27WPG 4–2 CGY0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ScheifeleTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

ScheifeleTkachuk

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Winnipeg Jets logo

Mark Scheifele

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Florida Panthers logo

Matthew Tkachuk

4games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs Cam Talbot (.909)
  • Thu, Nov 12 vs DET
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.862)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ STL
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.921)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ DALB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Casey DeSmith (.894)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Mark Scheifele or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Matthew Tkachuk scored 2.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.38. Scheifele had 26 points in 21 games; Tkachuk had 29 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Matthew Tkachuk?
On 2026-27 numbers, Matthew Tkachuk leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Scheifele and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 15–12. Scheifele had 27 points (16 goals) and Tkachuk had 24 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Tkachuk?
Against each other, Scheifele has won 1 and Tkachuk 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →