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Who to start · 2025-26

Morgan Frost vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Meier has 1 left. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Meier's 1.9.

Timo Meier has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Draw Equity /100 +0.083.

Meier's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Scoring chances 53.4%, Transition attempts /60 2.14.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFrostMeier
Goals (+2)0.500.58
Assists (+1)0.240.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.35
Hits (+0.1)0.070.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Frost vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FrostMeier
7Team record in 14 meetings7
3Points in those games10

Frost 1G 2A, 18 SOG · Meier 4G 6A, 49 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Frost's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Frost's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Frost blocked 1 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of Frost's.

On the ice against each other (Frost's side)

4:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side

Shot attempts
4–5
44.4%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
47.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Morgan Frost and Timo Meier
DateScoreFrostMeier
2026-03-12CGY 5–4 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-19CGY 1–2 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-20CGY 5–3 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-01-29PHI 0–5 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-27PHI 4–2 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-18PHI 3–1 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-13PHI 1–0 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-17PHI 3–6 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-19PHI 3–2 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-29PHI 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 6S
2022-10-23PHI 0–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2022-01-08PHI 2–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 2A 6S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FrostMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Morgan Frost or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Morgan Frost or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Frost and Meier done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 7–7. Frost had 3 points (1 goals) and Meier had 10 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Frost or Meier?
Against each other, Frost has won 1 and Meier 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →