Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Tim Stützle
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stützle has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Stützle's 1.6.
Tim Stützle has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.
Stützle's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.2, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.70, Top skating speed 23.5.
Head to head on the dot, Stützle leads Aho 17–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.03
fantasy points per game
Tim Stützle
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tim Stützle has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Stützle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Stützle
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 7G 12A, 40 SOG · Stützle 6G 5A, 48 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 6–10 · Aho's defensive zone 4–4 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
38:22 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 45–31
- 59.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–1.7
- 51.3%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Stützle |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 · PO | CAR 4–2 OTT | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | CAR 2–1 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | CAR 3–2 OTT | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-18 · PO | CAR 2–0 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-05 | CAR 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4–3 OTT | 1G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-24 | CAR 4–1 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0–3 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | CAR 4–0 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-17 | CAR 7–2 OTT | 0G 3A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-12 | CAR 4–1 OTT | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-11 | CAR 5–3 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Tim Stützle
1games
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Tim Stützle in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Tim Stützle?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tim Stützle leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Stützle done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 13–5. Aho had 19 points (7 goals) and Stützle had 11 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Stützle?
- Against each other, Aho has won 15 and Stützle 17 of their 32 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →