Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Transition attempts /60 2.80, Hits 162.
Aho's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 128, Faceoffs won 596, Ice-time share 32.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads Aho 12–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 7G 5A, 89 SOG · Aho 9G 15A, 57 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 11–7 · neutral 0–1 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 1–0 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
Tkachuk blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
25:06 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–17
- 62.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 53.8%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | FLA 1–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-25 · PO | OTT 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | OTT 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | OTT 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-18 · PO | OTT 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6–3 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-02-03 | OTT 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-13 | OTT 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-16 | OTT 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-17 | OTT 2–7 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2023-12-12 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 8S | 2G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Aho done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 8–16. Tkachuk had 12 points (7 goals) and Aho had 24 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Aho?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 12 and Aho 8 of their 20 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →