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Who to start · 2025-26

Tyler Toffoli vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladislav Gavrikov projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Toffoli has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Vladislav Gavrikov has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, Offensive-zone time 45.2%.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.0, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +5.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladislav Gavrikov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromToffoliGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.450.28
Assists (+1)0.360.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.13
Hits (+0.1)0.060.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Toffoli vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ToffoliGavrikov
7Team record in 19 meetings12
7Points in those games6

Toffoli 5G 2A, 61 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 6A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Toffoli blocked 1 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 2 of Toffoli's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Toffoli's side)

13:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Toffoli's side

Shot attempts
12–14
46.2%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
38.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Tyler Toffoli and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreToffoliGavrikov
2026-01-23SJS 3–1 NYR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-23SJS 6–5 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-30SJS 1–8 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2024-11-25SJS 7–2 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-29SJS 4–2 LAK1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-24SJS 2–3 LAK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-03NJD 1–5 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-15NJD 1–2 LAK1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-28CGY 2–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-20CGY 2–8 LAK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-23CGY 4–3 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-09CGY 1–3 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ToffoliGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Tyler Toffoli or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladislav Gavrikov projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tyler Toffoli or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vladislav Gavrikov leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Toffoli and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Toffoli's team went 7–12. Toffoli had 7 points (5 goals) and Gavrikov had 6 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →