Draw Duel
Rodrigo Abols faceoff stats, 2025-26
PHI · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
50.6%
90%: 47.1%–54.1% vs an average regular, on 416 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
52.1%
158 won of 303 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
59.8% / 45.5%
127 strong-side, 88 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Abols wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 48 | 28 | 58.3% |
| OZ right | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| NZ left (att.) | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| NZ right (att.) | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| Centre | 88 | 42 | 47.7% |
| NZ left (def.) | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| NZ right (def.) | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| DZ left | 49 | 32 | 65.3% |
| DZ right | 49 | 22 | 44.9% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R41.8%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L42.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R42.9%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R43.4%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L43.5%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L43.7%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L63.1%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L62.8%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L61.9%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L60.2%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R59.9%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L59.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 52.1% 303 | 52.2% 293 | 50.0% 4 | 50.0% 6 | 59.4% 64 | 46.8% 141 | 55.1% 98 | 59.8% 127 | 45.5% 88 |
| 2024-25 | 58.4% 113 | 57.8% 109 | 66.7% 3 | 100.0% 1 | 63.8% 47 | 54.3% 35 | 54.8% 31 | 64.8% 54 | 54.1% 37 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Jankowski | 6–10 | 37.5% | 50.1% | 49.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Luke Glendening | 4–9 | 30.8% | 46.9% | 46.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Nico Hischier | 4–7 | 36.4% | 45.2% | 45.0% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Luke Kunin | 6–3 | 66.7% | 53.5% | 53.8% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Kyle MacLean | 7–1 | 87.5% | 55.9% | 56.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.8) |
| John Beecher | 5–3 | 62.5% | 52.9% | 53.0% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Jack Finley | 3–5 | 37.5% | 52.0% | 51.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Michael McCarron | 5–3 | 62.5% | 47.4% | 47.7% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Blake Lizotte | 4–3 | 57.1% | 55.8% | 55.8% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| David Kampf | 2–5 | 28.6% | 47.8% | 47.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 3–4 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 42.9% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Dominic James | 4–2 | 66.7% | 51.2% | 51.4% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | @ PIT | 2 | 4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | @ BUF | 2 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-12 | vs TBL | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-10 | vs TBL | 3 | 7 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-08 | vs TOR | 4 | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2026-01-06 | vs ANA | 8 | 10 | 80.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | @ EDM | 9 | 11 | 81.8% |
| 2025-12-31 | @ CGY | 9 | 12 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | @ VAN | 2 | 5 | 40.0% |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SEA | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Rodrigo Abols's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Rodrigo Abols's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Rodrigo Abols win tonight?
When Rodrigo Abols has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Rodrigo Abols better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.