Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Dominic James faceoff stats, 2025-26

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Model rating

47.1%

90%: 43.4%–50.7% vs an average regular, on 304 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

50.4%

139 won of 276 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

52.7% / 51.3%

129 strong-side, 78 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where James wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

56% · 6258% · 2443% · 14— · 745% · 6945% · 1142% · 1252% · 4254% · 35
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Dominic James faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left623556.5%
OZ right241458.3%
NZ left (att.)14642.9%
NZ right (att.)7228.6%
Centre693144.9%
NZ left (def.)11545.5%
NZ right (def.)12541.7%
DZ left422252.4%
DZ right351954.3%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2025-2650.4% 27649.6% 27080.0% 5100.0% 157.0% 8643.4% 11353.2% 7752.7% 12951.3% 78
Playoffs (all)21.4% 2821.4% 28— 0— 018.2% 119.1% 1150.0% 621.4% 1437.5% 8

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Jake Evans2–918.2%41.0%40.5%a bit unusual (z -1.5)
Jordan Staal7–277.8%39.8%40.4%unusual (z 2.3)
Ryan Poehling5–455.6%50.4%50.5%normal luck (z 0.3)
Colton Sissons5–455.6%43.4%43.6%normal luck (z 0.7)
Phillip Danault1–614.3%40.1%39.7%a bit unusual (z -1.4)
Tyson Kozak5–271.4%50.3%50.6%a bit unusual (z 1.1)
Nick Foligno4–357.1%43.8%44.0%normal luck (z 0.7)
Frank Nazar3–442.9%51.1%50.9%normal luck (z -0.4)
Brock Nelson4–357.1%49.5%49.6%normal luck (z 0.4)
Konsta Helenius3–350.0%59.5%59.4%normal luck (z -0.5)
Rodrigo Abols2–433.3%48.8%48.6%normal luck (z -0.8)
Mason McTavish2–433.3%47.4%47.2%normal luck (z -0.7)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-05-03vs MTL2450.0%
2026-05-01@ MTL11100.0%
2026-04-29vs MTL080.0%
2026-04-26@ MTL1616.7%
2026-04-24@ MTL010.0%
2026-04-21vs MTL1425.0%
2026-04-19vs MTL1425.0%
2026-02-28vs BUF81266.7%
2026-02-26@ CAR91181.8%
2026-02-25vs TOR3650.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Dominic James's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Dominic James's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Dominic James win tonight?

When Dominic James has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Dominic James better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.