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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.6.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Hits 139, Hardest shot 88.4, Blocked shots 51.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Ascension score 62, Goals above expected +0.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.671.15
Assists (+1)0.401.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.35
Hits (+0.1)0.200.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliMcDavid
2Team record in 5 meetings3
6Points in those games9

Fantilli 3G 3A, 12 SOG · McDavid 3G 6A, 14 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other3

Fantilli's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–1 · Fantilli's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

8:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
8–10
44.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.8
30.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Connor McDavid
DateScoreFantilliMcDavid
2025-11-13CBJ 5–4 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2025-11-10CBJ 4–5 EDM1G 1A 3S2G 0A 5S
2024-12-05CBJ 3–6 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 4A 1S
2024-10-28CBJ 6–1 EDM1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-23CBJ 1–4 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and McDavid done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 2–3. Fantilli had 6 points (3 goals) and McDavid had 9 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or McDavid?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 1 and McDavid 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →