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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Filip Hronek

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Sequence xG 51.3%.

Hronek's biggest edges: Ascension score 52, Faceoffs won 0, Hardest shot 95.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreHronek
Goals (+2)0.490.17
Assists (+1)0.340.68
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.17
Hits (+0.1)0.110.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Hronek

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreHronek
7Team record in 12 meetings5
9Points in those games8

Lafrenière 2G 7A, 21 SOG · Hronek 1G 7A, 31 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Hronek's shots; Hronek blocked 1 of Lafrenière's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

12:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
8–7
53.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
56.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Filip Hronek
DateScoreLafrenièreHronek
2025-12-16NYR 0–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-28NYR 2–0 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-22NYR 5–3 VAN0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-19NYR 4–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-08NYR 3–6 VAN0G 2A 3S0G 2A 2S
2023-10-28NYR 4–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2023-02-23NYR 1–4 DET0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-10NYR 8–2 DET0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-06NYR 2–3 DET0G 0A 1S0G 1A 7S
2022-04-16NYR 4–0 DET2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-30NYR 5–4 DET0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-02-17NYR 2–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreHronek

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Filip Hronek?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Hronek done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 7–5. Lafrenière had 9 points (2 goals) and Hronek had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →