Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left; McDavid has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.2.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.7, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, On-ice PDO 1008.

McDavid's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.5%, Plus/minus +17, Scoring chances 54.1%.

Head to head on the dot, Bedard leads McDavid 8–7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.871.17
Assists (+1)0.651.10
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.33
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.37
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardMcDavid
1Team record in 6 meetings5
7Points in those games8

Bedard 2G 5A, 13 SOG · McDavid 0G 8A, 22 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other7

Bedard's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 5–3 · Bedard's defensive zone 2–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

7:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.2
75.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Connor McDavid
DateScoreBedardMcDavid
2026-04-02CHI 1–3 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 8S
2025-11-01CHI 2–3 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 3A 5S
2025-02-05CHI 3–4 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-11CHI 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-12CHI 5–2 EDM1G 2A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-12CHI 1–4 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.2 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and McDavid done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–5. Bedard had 7 points (2 goals) and McDavid had 8 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or McDavid?
Against each other, Bedard has won 8 and McDavid 7 of their 15 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →