Who to start · 2026-27

Connor McDavid vs Drew O'Connor

Connor McDavidOilers · Centre
vs
Drew O'ConnorCanucks · Left wing
Cooling10 P in last 5 (2.50/GP before)
Cooling−1:58 TOI a game

In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Drew O'Connor's 0.93.

McDavid had 50 points in 21 games; O'Connor had 5 in 21 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; O'Connor has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 3.7 to O'Connor's 0.8 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, On-ice PDO 1088, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.09.

O'Connor's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 18, Hardest shot 87.3, Transition attempts /60 1.58.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +16.2 to -4.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is cooling, 10 P in last 5 (2.50/GP before); O'Connor is cooling, −1:58 TOI a game.

  • • McDavid, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 3 G, 14 A, 8 PPP, 30 SOG.
  • • O'Connor, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 16 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Vancouver Canucks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+16.2

category z-score total

Drew O'Connor

-4.9

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, O'Connor wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidO'Connor
Goals / game0.520.10
Assists / game1.860.14
Plus/minus / game1.24-0.48
Power-play points / game0.950.00
Shots on goal / game2.761.33
Hits / game0.901.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs O'Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidO'Connor
8Team record in 11 meetings3
26Points in those games3

McDavid 4G 22A, 36 SOG · O'Connor 1G 2A, 20 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

McDavid's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26 to 2026-27)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

33:30 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
40–21
65.6%
Expected goals
2.4–0.9
72.6%
Goals
5–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Drew O'Connor
DateScoreMcDavidO'Connor
2026-11-07EDM 4–2 VAN0G 3A 3S0G 0A 5S
2026-10-01EDM 9–7 VAN1G 4A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-09-29EDM 5–6 VAN0G 2A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-04-16EDM 6–1 VAN0G 4A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-17EDM 6–0 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-26EDM 3–4 VAN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-11EDM 3–1 VAN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-09EDM 3–5 PIT0G 3A 3S1G 1A 2S
2024-10-25EDM 4–0 PIT0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-03EDM 6–1 PIT1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-23EDM 7–2 PIT2G 2A 7S0G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: McDavid vs O'Connor

Model: Connor McDavid wins 52.9% of draws against Drew O'Connor on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Connor McDavid's predicted win % against Drew O'Connor at each dot, in McDavid's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
McDavid atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home61%45%62%46%53%62%46%63%47%
Road59%43%60%44%53%60%44%61%45%

Head-to-head 2025-26 to 2026-27: McDavid 1–1 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 52.9%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

McDavid faceoffs · O'Connor faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidO'Connor

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

McDavidO'Connor

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Edmonton Oilers logo

Connor McDavid

4games (1 left)

3.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
  • Wed, Nov 11 vs PHI
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.879)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Anthony Stolarz (.905)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ PHIB2B3.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Dan Vladar (.879)
Vancouver Canucks logo

Drew O'Connor

3games (1 left)

0.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 vs PHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.902)
  • Fri, Nov 13 vs NYR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ VGK0.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +3.1 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.895)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Drew O'Connor in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Drew O'Connor's 0.93. McDavid had 50 points in 21 games; O'Connor had 5 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Drew O'Connor?
On 2026-27 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and O'Connor done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 8–3. McDavid had 26 points (4 goals) and O'Connor had 3 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or O'Connor?
Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and O'Connor 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →